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M94A2504.TXT
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1994-10-25
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Document 2504
DOCN M94A2504
TI Potentials for HIV epidemic spread in India.
DT 9412
AU Khodakevich L; Lal S; Salil P; Ministry of Health, Government of India.
SO Int Conf AIDS. 1994 Aug 7-12;10(1):289 (abstract no. PC0078). Unique
Identifier : AIDSLINE ICA10/94370071
AB OBJECTIVES: In 1992-1993, WHO projected that by the end of the century,
Asia may become the main focus of AIDS epidemic. India being one of the
most populous country in this region was considered a significant
contributor to it. The purpose of this work is to evaluate the potential
for the epidemic development. METHOD: Basing on the demographic data, we
stratified the country population into several groups with various
frequencies of HIV risk practices and quantified these groups. The data
available on the prevalence rates and progression of HIV infection in
each group were used for the judgement on the potentials for HIV spread.
RESULTS: The groups analyses included: (a) female sex workers; (b)
clients of FSW's in the cities; (c) intercity truck drivers; (d) female
sex workers serving intercity truck drivers; (e) injecting drug users;
and (f) men who have sex with men. The population not included in these
groups of high risk were treated as the general population. The HIV
prevalence rates currently reported for each group were extrapolated to
determine the present magnitude of the epidemic and HIV infection
progression rates were used for the projections. DISCUSSION AND
CONCLUSION: The amount of individuals with HIV in India places this
country at a leading place for the absolute number of HIV infections in
one single country. Through the rates are lower than in thailand or in
African countries. The combination of the high absolute prevalence and
rapid increase of the rates observed in female sex workers, injecting
drug users and truck drivers as well as in the general population
observed in limited areas offer a good potential for developing a major
HIV epidemic in this country.
DE Female Homosexuality Human HIV Infections/*TRANSMISSION India Male
Prostitution Substance Abuse, Intravenous/COMPLICATIONS MEETING
ABSTRACT
SOURCE: National Library of Medicine. NOTICE: This material may be
protected by Copyright Law (Title 17, U.S.Code).